Boris Johnson and the Irish Backstop: A Declarative Brexit Strategy or Empty Rhetoric?

The recent reports suggesting that Boris Johnson is refusing to meet with EU leaders until they agree to ditch the Irish backstop despite invitations from Angela Merkel and Emmanuel Macron have sparked debates. While the British tabloids are hailing him as a steadfast leader, the situation raises questions about his true intentions and strategy.

How Far Will He Go?

The headline 'How far will he go? All the way' reflects a pessimistic view on Johnson's persistence. It is clear that his primary objective is to crash the UK out of the EU with no deal, as evidenced by the significant funding he received from pro-Brexit billionaires. However, directly stating his intentions would be politically disastrous. Therefore, he is indulging in a carefully crafted media performance to create an image of a resolute leader.

Media Performance and Public Perception

The media, particularly the Daily Mail, The Telegraph, The Times, and The Sun, are supportive of Johnson's stance. They portray him as a British hero, demonstrating resilience and firmness in the face of EU leaders' reluctant stance. This portrayal aligns with the narrative of 'Maggie 2.0,' drawing parallels between Margaret Thatcher and Boris Johnson's leadership styles.

Strategizing No-deal Brexit

Boris Johnson is strategically laying the groundwork to blame anyone but himself for a no-deal Brexit scenario. By continuing to push for the removal of the Irish backstop, he is making it appear as though the EU is standing in the way of a deal. This strategy aims to portray him as a victim of EU inflexibility, rather than the advocate of a difficult stance.

British Position and Irish Backstop

Conservative MP Linda Coates criticizes Boris Johnson's position, arguing that there is nothing to discuss unless the EU is willing to reason and not dictate terms. The MS deal (whose acronym is not clear here) being dead highlights the urgency of the situation, as time is running out for a meaningful resolution.

Weak British Position and Lack of Specifics

British position is further weakened by the lack of specific solutions proposed by Boris Johnson for the Northern Ireland problem. This absence of a concrete plan makes it easier for critics to portray his stance as empty rhetoric. Without a viable solution, the British government's negotiating strategy appears inconsequential.

Blaming the Irish and Domestic Politics

Boris Johnson's approach of blaming the Irish and belittling their position makes the British stance appear as bullying. By focusing on the Irish, Johnson diverts attention from his own failures. This strategy not only alienates the Irish but also portrays the British government as inflexible and ignorant of the legitimate reasons for the backstop's existence.

Pro-Backstop MPs and Legitimacy of Backstop

Johnson hopes that the British electorate, particularly the 10 DUP MPs, will prop up his government and support his shambolic administration. However, he also acknowledges the legitimacy of the backstop, hoping that it will be accepted by Northern Irish voters if put to a vote. This strategy relies on the assumption that people are too disengaged to see through his tactics.

Contradictions and Silence

It is worth noting that Boris Johnson voted for the backstop in the past, a fact that further undermines his current stance. This contradiction in his policy position adds to the perception of empty rhetoric rather than a strategic negotiation strategy.

In conclusion, the persistent refusal to meet EU leaders regarding the Irish backstop suggests that Boris Johnson is more focused on creating a media spectacle of inflexibility rather than engaging in meaningful negotiations. His strategy of blame and division does not reflect a robust negotiation stance but rather an inflated sense of his own self-importance. As time continues to pass, the British public and international partners will increasingly recognize the emptiness of his rhetoric and the futility of his no-deal Brexit approach.