The Impact of Third-Party Candidates in 2020: Green or Libertarian?

The 2020 election season saw a mix of candidates from various parties, with discussions surrounding third-party candidates from the Green and Libertarian parties. Understanding their potential impact requires scrutinizing the political landscape and voter preferences.

The Potential of the Green Party in 2020

The Green Party in 2020 presents an interesting angle, with the Bernie Sanders supporters potentially lining up under its banner. However, the success of such a coalition is not guaranteed. Historically, the Green Party has a narrow appeal, focusing on hardline progressive ideologies. This limitation is compounded by the fact that the Democratic Party is likely to either nominate a centrist progressive or include a progressive vice-presidential nominee, reducing the incentive for Sanders supporters to switch to the Green Party.

The Role of the Libertarian Party in 2020

The Libertarian Party, on the other hand, stands a better chance of influencing the 2020 election. Notably, former Rhode Island Governor Lincoln Chafee is considering a run for the Libertarian nomination. Chafee's unique political background, encompassing a history across the Republican, Democratic, and independent parties, makes him an appealing candidate for liberal Republicans. This shift could present a significant challenge to President Trump, who relies heavily on reactionary conservatives. A fraction of liberal Republicans supporting Chafee could significantly impact the election, as Trump is not running against Hillary Clinton in a world with a clearer political landscape.

Impact on the Presidential Election

Third-party candidates have historically played a crucial role in shaping the outcome of the election, even if they do not secure a win. For instance, in 2016, third-party candidates divided the electorate, ultimately allowing Donald Trump to triumph. It is highly probable that third-party candidates in 2020 will achieve a similar effect. Their role is critical in siphoning off votes that could otherwise support the Democratic or Republican candidates.

Positive Outcome for the Winner

Interestingly, while third-party candidates can cause disruptions, they also help the eventual winner. President Trump, for example, has thanked third-party candidates for their contribution to the broader political discourse. In 2020, third-party candidates are likely to facilitate a more vibrant political debate, benefiting the final winner by creating a more engaged electorate.

The Reality of Third-Party Elegibility

Following the election, it is important to note that third-party candidates have no realistic chance of winning the presidency or vice-presidency. Their ambitious egos often overshadow their limited political acumen. While they can make significant contributions to the campaign and debates, their potential for electoral success is minimal.

Legitimacy of Third-Party Candidates for Other Positions

Conversely, third-party candidates can run for other elected offices such as governor, senator, and mayor effectively. Their ability to bring fresh perspectives and diverse viewpoints to the table can enhance democratic representation and advocate for progressive change.

In conclusion, the presence of third-party candidates in 2020, particularly those from the Green and Libertarian parties, is expected to have a significant impact on the election dynamics, though their path to the presidency is fraught with challenges. Their strategic roles as potential disruptors and contributors to the broader political conversation should not be underestimated.