Introduction

The 2020 U.S. presidential election remains a contentious topic, especially among staunch supporters of former President Donald Trump. A hypothetical scenario where voting for the election were to be cancelled could raise significant questions. Would Trump supporters still remain supportive, or would their allegiance waver? This essay explores the potential outcomes and implications of such an event.

The Dangers of Cancelled Elections

Firstly, cancelling an election has dire consequences as evidenced in historical instances, notably in 1930s Germany. When democratic norms are undermined, it can spiral into authoritarianism and even dictatorial rule. In such conditions, the freedom to choose one's leader is compromised, leading to potential instability and loss of democratic values. Turkey's failed coup in 2016 and other instances have also shown how cancelling elections can set a dangerous precedent for authoritarian regimes.

Emergency Situations

Secondly, emergency situations can lead to drastic measures. In the case of a super lockdown due to a severe pandemic, as mentioned by the author, a government might consider canceling elections for the public good. For example, the unprecedented super-coronavirus outbreak in 2020 led to massive lockdowns globally. Such a scenario could prompt an emergency declaration, potentially suspending elections. If President Trump were in office during such a crisis, his options might be limited.

The Role of Congress and Legitimacy

Legitimacy is crucial in elections, and any tampering with the electoral process, whether through cancellation or postponement, can have significant impacts. Congress might decide to postpone an election for substantial reasons, not necessarily to aid President Trump. Given the current political climate, Congress is less likely to take actions that would benefit Trump. Their decision might be influenced by a desire to protect democratic institutions or simply to demonstrate their independence. Legislators could postpone an election due to security concerns, logistical challenges, or public health issues, all of which could impact the outcome but not necessarily in a way favorable to President Trump.

Consequences for Trump Supporters

Electorally, Trump has very little sway over the decision to cancel or postpone elections. His supporters are more likely to maintain their allegiance if the decision is perceived as transparent and legitimate, rather than seen as an attempt to undermine him. If Congress decided to postpone the election, it would likely be for reasons beyond Trump's control, such as the need to ensure fair and safe voting conditions. If Congress acted in this way, it would solidify the perception that the electoral process is fair and that democracy is respected. Supporters, therefore, are more likely to remain committed, believing that this decision aligns with democratic principles.

Key Points and Relevance

Historical precedents show that the cancellation of elections can lead to authoritarianism, impacting democratic norms and institutions. In the case of an emergency like a severe pandemic, elections might be postponed for the public good, which does not necessarily benefit a specific political candidate. The decision-making process in Congress is likely to be guided by a desire to uphold the democratic process, regardless of personal affiliations with the incumbent.

Ultimately, the allegiance of Trump supporters is more dependent on the perceived legitimacy and transparency of the electoral process, rather than the outcome of any individual decision. Understanding these factors can help in predicting the behavior and allegiance of supporters in such hypothetical scenarios.